CO may have Covid peak in Sept.

[DenverCountryBoy]

COVID19 | Department of Public Health & Environment

covid19.colorado.gov

The governors edicts should put the state in the 50% social distancing range. If that holds, according to their models Colorado is likely to see peak ICU hospitalization in the beginning of September.

Draw applications are due in couple days. Plan accordingly.

 

[BrokenArrow]

Interesting. Not sure I trust the CDPHE all the time, but this has some significance.

 

[ahlgringo]

I read that earlier as well. It provides an interesting perspective- unfortunately it assumes a lot of principles that may or may not be true. The most challenging thing about this virus is simply the lack of data- we don’t understand a whole lot about it. So models based on incomplete info- I put little faith in. But it is an interesting perspective.

BTW: It also assumes indefinite social distancing


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[DenverCountryBoy]

I read that earlier as well. It provides an interesting perspective- unfortunately it assumes a lot of principles that may or may not be true. The most challenging thing about this virus is simply the lack of data- we don’t understand a whole lot about it. So models based on incomplete info- I put little faith in. But it is an interesting perspective.

BTW: It also assumes indefinite social distancing


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I saw that. People will freak out if social distancing is continued past May.

 

[MattB]

Considering the disease has a max. 14 day incubation and a ~ 14 course, that is totally policy-related.

 

[DenverCountryBoy]

GovernorPolisPresentation2020-03-27.pptx.pdf

drive.google.com

Slides from last week's press conference. You can see that the current orders put CO in the 50% social distancing range.

 

[ddavis_1313]

I’m going hunting regardless. Lol.


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[chasewild]

This is all good information to prepare. Of course, holes can be poked, but we can all agree that the 5p's are better than 3.

 

[street]

Dont trust any modeling that doesn't even give the model or references to previous studies of that model.

 

[DenverCountryBoy]

I’m going hunting regardless. Lol.


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The governor's husband is an animal rights activist. If this peaks here in the fall, I wouldn't be surprised if hunting is suspended.

 

[ddavis_1313]

The governor's husband is an animal rights activist. If this peaks here in the fall, I wouldn't be surprised if hunting is suspended.

That may be the case, but I’m still taking an elk. That feeds me and my wife for the year.


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[Fatcamp]

I read that earlier as well. It provides an interesting perspective- unfortunately it assumes a lot of principles that may or may not be true. The most challenging thing about this virus is simply the lack of data- we don’t understand a whole lot about it. So models based on incomplete info- I put little faith in. But it is an interesting perspective.

BTW: It also assumes indefinite social distancing


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That was my big takeaway. 80% SD indefinitely? Not likely. The deaths from suicide will likely outweigh those saved from the quarantine.

 

[shoeshineman]

The governor's husband is an animal rights activist. If this peaks here in the fall, I wouldn't be surprised if hunting is suspended.

"husband"

 

[Foldem]

The national model shows that CO has already peaked on daily deaths.

IHME | COVID-19 Projections

Explore forecasts of COVID-19 cases, deaths, and hospital resource use.

covid19.healthdata.org

Co doesn't follow it though.

 

[MuleDeerMike]

If you're a non-res guy trying to hunt out-of-state this Fall, better have a back-up plan just in case IMO.

 

[Shrek]

The modeling is sooo reliable. I could write that Chinese virus may leak in October 2028 and it would be just as good of a prediction.

 

[Scoutman]

The governor's husband is an animal rights activist. If this peaks here in the fall, I wouldn't be surprised if hunting is suspended.

Your response should scare the @#ll out of Colorado as a whole, no doubt. People rely on that for economy.

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[Zee]

Still applied for my normal units but I have a friend coming down from WY for his first-ever mule deer hunt so im hoping this whole thing doesn't ruin it for us.

 

[ahlgringo]

I am definitely nervous about it. The next thing you are going to hear is that since it was transferred to a tiger in the bronx zoo- “for the sake of the elk” we need to keep our distance.


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[Farmingdale's Finest]

I saw that. People will freak out if social distancing is continued past May.

Living in NJ. I can tell you they are talking about social distancing until there is a vaccine available. That means through next winter and at the earliest based upon how long a fast drug trial lasts more than likely the summer or fall of 2021.


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